DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION OF DECISION-MAKING IN THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY GRID OF UZBEKISTAN

DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION OF DECISION-MAKING IN THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY GRID OF UZBEKISTAN

Authors

  • Abdumalik A. Djumanov
  • Mukhlisa M. Gafurova
  • Tursunmurod R. Sobirov

Keywords:

electricity grid, digital modeling, hybrid simulation model, green energy, CO₂ emissions, prescriptive analytics

Abstract

This study focuses on the computer simulation modeling of the national electricity grid of Uzbekistan. The
operation of the electricity grid was simulated using a hybrid simulation model, in which each region was considered as
an individual agent integrated into a stochastic model, while the energy supply to the agents was designed using a system
dynamics approach. Input data modeling revealed that electricity supply and consumption patterns across regions and
different months are characterized by various probability distribution types depending on the nature of the observed data.
The developed hybrid simulation model made it possible to analyze potential developments of Uzbekistan’s national
electricity supply system by considering several strategic energy projects, including the introduction of additional
hydroelectric power generation, photovoltaic power stations, and nuclear power plants, as well as increases in industrial
electricity demand, electric vehicle consumption, and population growth. The findings demonstrate that the integration of
green energy (GE) reduces CO₂ emissions from conventional power plants (PPs), particularly when energy losses within
the electricity grid are reduced simultaneously.

Author Biographies

Abdumalik A. Djumanov

Rector, Pharmaceutical Technical University
PhD in Technical Sciences


Mukhlisa M. Gafurova

Head of the Project Office, JSC “Uztransgaz”
Master of Science in Business Intelligence and Analytics

Tursunmurod R. Sobirov

Master of Science in Business Intelligence and Analytics
Westminster International University in Tashkent


References

1. Bazan, P., & German. (2012). Hybrid Simulation of Renewable Energy Generation and Storage Grids. In Proceedings

of the 2012 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 9–12 December 2012.

2. Heath, Brailsford, S. C., Buss, A., & Macal, C. M. (2011). Cross-Paradigm Simulation Modeling: Challenges and

Successes. In Proceedings of the 2011 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 2783–2797. https://doi.org/10.1109/

WSC.2011.6147983

3. Jarrah. (2016). Modeling and Simulation of Renewable Energy Sources in Smart Grid Using DEVS Formalism.

Procedia Computer Science, 83, 642–647. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2016.04.144

4. Pruckner, & German. (2013). A Hybrid Simulation Model for Large-Scaled Electricity Generation Systems. In

Proceedings of the 2013 Winter Simulation Conference.

Downloads

Published

2026-05-01

How to Cite

Djumanov, A., Gafurova, M., & Sobirov, T. (2026). DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION OF DECISION-MAKING IN THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY GRID OF UZBEKISTAN. GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 4(5). Retrieved from https://www.yashil-iqtisodiyot-taraqqiyot.uz/journal/index.php/GED/article/view/10427
Loading...